FSMNews

USD/CAD

The US Dollar/Canadian Dollar is a famous currency paid because of the large amount of cross border trading activity that take place between the United States and Canada

The day before, the pair decline during  sluggish in the US greenback.

The greenback is also stressed by anticipations of key data on the US labour market that is scheduled later today. The data could have a vital influence on the decision to tighten monetary policy at the September meeting of the Fed Reserve.

On September 2, the U.S. greenback declined against its Canadian counterpart, after the announcement of downbeat U.S. employment data and as a more optimistic trade balance report from Canada gave support to the local currency.

USD/CAD reaches 1.3007 during early U.S. trade, the pair’s lowermost since August 30, the pair then consolidated in 1.3010, withdrawing 0.71 percent.

The pair was expected to find support at 1.2970, the nearer to the ground of August 29 and resistance at 1.3149, Thursday’s three-week peak.

FSMNews

And then again on Monday, the greenback remained generally lower following weaker than projected U.S. jobs data.

The dollar index declined 0.24 percent at 03:30 ET as the market reassessed the probabilities of a U.S. rate hike this 2016.

Late last week, USD/CAD moved up to a high of 1.3148 and then suddenly overturned directions, falling to a low of 1.2946, as support held at 1.2900. The USD/CAD closed the week at 1.2977 and opened the week at 1.3016.

FSMNews

USD/CAD presented some movement the previous week, however, ended the week practically unmoved. USD/CAD closed the week at 1.2977. This week’s emphasize are the Overnight Rate and  Employment Change.

In the US, the nonfarm payrolls announcement was depressing, as the indicator declined to 151 thousand, short of the forecast of 180 thousand. Canadian GDP rallied nicely, with a gain of 0.6% in June. This beat the forecast of 0.4%.

This month, the  U.S. unemployment rate stayed unmoved at 4.9%, confusing anticipations for a downtick to 4.8%.

The report also indicated that  average hourly earnings increase 0.1% in August, below anticipations for a 0.2% surge.

The unsatisfactory data reduced expectations for a short term rate hike, as Fed officials lately showed that the step of interest rate increases will be data-dependent.

What to expect?

The slip in USD/CAD happened in spite of a regaining in the U.S. dollar after an initial sell-off after the announcement of a sluggish than anticipated August U.S. nonfarm payroll report. The report presented an increase of 151K jobs, weaker than the assessment for an increase of 180K. The flexibility in the U.S. greenback on Friday, as it announced a quarter of a percentage increase, unsuccessful to translate to strong point in USD/CAD, as CAD was hit by an increase in oil prices, which were increased by improved talks of an output freeze.

Oil prices have been the leading driver of USD/CAD, which decline throughout the first half of August as oil, progressive to talk that an agreement would be completed to freeze output as early as this month. A recovery from the current slip in oil would be an ongoing negative for USD/CAD.

If  USD/CAD can become stable straight ahead and repeat the dropping resistance line, the goal becomes the July/August peak at the 1.32 handle. 

FSM News is the place for you! Subscribe to our newsletter to receive daily news and analyses on market affairs.